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2024-12-14 01:58:40

Before the Bank of Japan's policy meeting, it released chaotic signals. Japanese traders were confused about when to raise interest rates. After the Bank of Japan officials' remarks and media reports sent different signals, traders have been confused about when the central bank might raise interest rates in the past week. This kind of confusion led to sharp fluctuations in the market's interest rate hike bets. The overnight index swap pricing showed that the probability of raising interest rates in December was 22%, which was significantly lower than 60% at the beginning of last week. This week, the yen fell from 150 last Friday to a low of 152.18 to the dollar, and the exchange rate was 151.73 at 10:40 Tokyo time. Kazuo Ueda, governor of the Bank of Japan, said in an interview last month that the interest rate hike was approaching. A few days later, a report by the news agency emphasized the concern of the central bank about raising interest rates prematurely. Tomaki Nakamura, a member of the Dove Policy Committee, said last week that he was not opposed to raising interest rates, but this month's policy decision must consider data factors.According to the monetary authority of singapore survey, economists predict that the core inflation rate will be 1.8% in 2025.It is reported that the Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not great, and the short-term earthquake of the yen market is reported. It is reported that the Bank of Japan believes that the cost of waiting for the next rate hike is not great. Some policy makers are not opposed to raising interest rates in December if it is proposed. It is said that officials believe that the next rate hike is only a matter of time, not whether to raise interest rates. In addition, they believe that there is little risk that the depreciation of the yen will push up inflationary pressure at this stage. The yen then fluctuated greatly. USD/JPY once fell to a low of 150.99, then rose by about 100 points, and now it is back to around 152. Judging from the current situation, traders expect the probability that the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates by 25 basis points next week to be around 26%.


Kremlin: Putin will talk about artificial intelligence on Wednesday.Israeli military: In the past 48 hours, it has attacked Syria's "most strategic weapons reserves". The Israel Defense Forces said on the 11th that in the past 48 hours, the Israeli army has attacked Syria's "most strategic weapons reserves". According to Israeli media reports, the Israeli army has destroyed "70% to 80% of the strategic military capability of the Assad regime".According to the survey of Monetary Authority of Singapore, 33% people expect that the slope of Singapore's exchange rate will be lowered in the January monetary policy evaluation (previously 50%).


Local regulators have found out the situation of institutions purchasing unlicensed financial information service products. The reporter was informed that some local securities regulatory bureaus are finding out the situation of institutions purchasing unlicensed financial information service products. The regulatory requirements require the securities fund and futures-related operating institutions within their jurisdiction to self-inspect the purchase of foreign financial information service products without the permission of the National Network Information Office. The main contents include a brief description of financial information service products, the contact telephone number and email address of foreign institutions, and so on. According to relevant regulations, the provision of financial information services by foreign institutions in China must be approved. Up to now, a total of 31 foreign institutions and 10 enterprises invested and established by foreign institutions in China have been licensed to provide financial information services. (Cailian)China Overseas Development: The annual interest of "23 Zhonghai 04" will be paid on December 12th. On December 10th, China Overseas Development (00688.HK) announced that China Overseas Enterprise Development Group Co., Ltd., a wholly-owned subsidiary of the company, will pay the annual interest of "23 Zhonghai 04" on December 12th, totaling 96 million yuan. The total amount of bonds issued in this issue is 3 billion yuan, and the issuance period is 5 years. The coupon rate of bonds in this issue is 3.20%.Survey by Monetary Authority of Singapore: Economists have lowered Singapore's non-oil domestic export growth forecast from 3.0% to 1.0% in 2024.

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